Picking the winner in the Superbowl. Science vs chance.

[Gregadd]

Philadelphia is the favorite in the SB. I have no method for assessing point spread, No doubt the people who are backing wagers have analyzed every factor to avoid losing their shirt. I want to see if I could do just as well with a coin toss. So I will flip a con ten times. If it it ends up even I will flip once more time to break the tie. The odds will be set by the number of positive outcomes Philadelphia is heads. Kansa city is tails. Odds will be set accordingly. If one tip gets 6and the other gets. The ddds wil be 6-4. Six dollars will get yo 4.
I will not reveal the results until after the game I will reveal the results after the game. I don't want to influence anyone's bet. A pm will be sent to Steve to authenticate the results
I hope your favorite team wins.

 

[Don Reid]

Hell if I know.

 

[Gregadd]

Congratulations to the Chiefs. Despite both secondarys needing some residual lessons on how to prioritize pass coverage they all played well and the game was entertaining. I always root for the NFC East. Even the Cowboys who should be in the NFC South. But I digress.

Chance won over science. The result of the coin flips went 6-4 in favor of the the Chiefs. Even if I had flipped once or five times the Chiefs would still have won.

 

[Gregadd]

Not only did the coin flip pick the right winner ,it picked the underdog. The underdog is potentially a more lucrative bet. Additionally the underdog can lose and still payoff if the winner does not cover the spread.
My advice is don't gamble. If you do be, a little homework can tip the odds in your favor. Remember the house alwys wins eventually because they have so many ways to win.